Mathematics BERNOULLI TRIALS AND BINOMIAL DISTRIBUTION

Binomial Probability Distribution :

Let an experiment has n independent trials and each of the trial has two possible out comes i.e. success or failure.

If getting number of successes in the experiment is a random variable then probability of getting exactly `r`-successes is -

`P(x=r)=text()^nC_r . q^(n-r)`

where `p =` probability of getting success
and `q =` probability of getting failure

Mean of `BPD` of a random variable

`mu =sum p_ix_i=sum_(i=0)^n r. text()^nC_r *p^r* q^(n-r)=sum_(r=0)^(n)r n/r * text()^(n-r)C_(r-1) * p^r * q^(n-r)=p * n sum_(r=1)^n text()^(n-1)C_(r-1) * p^(r-1) q^(n-r)`

`=np[text()^(n-r)C_0 * p^0 q^(n-1)+text()^(n-1)C_1 * p^1 q^(n-2)+...............+ text()^(n-1)C_(n-1)p^(n-1) q^0]`

`=np(p+q)^(n-1)=np`

Standard Deviation of BPD of a Random Variable :

Positive value of square root of variance is called standrard deviation.

`SD=+sqrt(sigma^2)=sqrt(npq)`

Bernoulli trials

Many experiments are dichotomous in nature. For example, a tossed coin shows a ‘head’ or ‘tail’, a manufactured item can be ‘defective’ or ‘non-defective’, the response to a question might be ‘yes’ or ‘no’, an egg has ‘hatched’ or ‘not hatched’, the decision
is ‘yes’ or ‘no’ etc. In such cases, it is customary to call one of the outcomes a ‘success’ and the other ‘not success’ or ‘failure’. For example, in tossing a coin, if the occurrence of the head is considered a success, then occurrence of tail is a failure.

Each time we toss a coin or roll a die or perform any other experiment, we call it a trial. If a coin is tossed, say, 4 times, the number of trials is 4, each having exactly two outcomes, namely, success or failure. The outcome of any trial is independent of the outcome of any other trial. In each of such trials, the probability of success or failure remains constant. Such independent trials which have only two outcomes usually referred as ‘success’ or ‘failure’ are called Bernoulli trials.

Definition : Trials of a random experiment are called Bernoulli trials, if they satisfy the following conditions :
(i) There should be a finite number of trials.
(ii) The trials should be independent.
(iii) Each trial has exactly two outcomes : success or failure.
(iv) The probability of success remains the same in each trial.

For example, throwing a die 50 times is a case of 50 Bernoulli trials, in which each trial results in success (say an even number) or failure (an odd number) and the probability of success (p) is same for all 50 throws. Obviously, the successive throws of the die are independent experiments. If the die is fair and have six numbers 1 to 6 written on six faces, then `p =1/2` and `q = 1 – p = 1/2` probability of failure.

 
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